Paras Chopra's predictions
Public predictions Paras Chopra (@paraschopra) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
low confidence
1 mostly true · 3 pending
Needs 5 resolved predictions to be ranked. This score is low confidence.
Next deadline: 2027-12-31. Pending calls are not part of the score.
By topic
Accuracy on the calls that have resolved, with the sample size.
- Developer tools75%
1 resolved · low confidence
Scored predictions
- Mostly true2024-07-10· Developer tools· due 2026-07-10
Today we use LLMs as coding assistants for autocompleting and function generation, but still have to code. I'm highly confident that the roles will reverse in 2 years. LLMs will use us as assistants to clarify requirements, but they'll do all the coding end-to-end.
'Roles will reverse in 2 years': LLMs code end-to-end, humans clarify requirements. By mid-2026 agentic tools like Claude Code reached ~39% workplace adoption (JetBrains) and a $1B+ run-rate (Reuters). Most developers still write and review code, so not fully reversed.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted. Dated calls are listed first.
- Pending2026-10-20· Security· due 2027-12-31
With powerful AIs, we will likely see a sudden rise in the volume and sophistication of digital scams next year. Therefore, it’s worthwhile for everyone to agree on a secret paraphrase physically with their friends & family so they can identify it’s really you at the other end.
Rise in AI scams next year.
- Pending2026-09-09· AI pricing· due 2028-09-09
@Omkar97752762 today, in 2 years it'll drop by factor of 100 or more
100x cost drop in 2 years.
- Pending2026-10-27· AI capability· due 2031-10-27
Imagine 5 years from now when we have AIs that are superhuman at all tasks that we humans care about. At that point, the only thing we will seek from other humans is social connection to satisfy our inborn craving for exchanging stories and gossip around campfire. For all other
5-year horizon.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Paras Chopra's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Paras Chopra's predictions?
Paras Chopra's tracked predictions score 75% across 1 resolved call (low confidence). 3 are still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.