Matt Wolfe's predictions
Public predictions Matt Wolfe (@mreflow) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
low confidence
1 wrong · 1 not checkable
Needs 5 resolved predictions to be ranked. This score is low confidence.
By topic
Accuracy on the calls that have resolved, with the sample size.
- AI industry0%
1 resolved · low confidence
Scored predictions
- Wrong2023-11-20· AI industry· due 2023-11-30
@allmils0 I bet Sam and Greg lead a team specifically designed to build a competitor to OpenAI and MSFT diverts what resources it was going to give to AI to that department and they rapidly catch up.
Bet Sam and Greg would lead a team inside Microsoft to build an OpenAI competitor. Altman was reinstated as OpenAI CEO days later (with Brockman back too) and Microsoft took an observer seat on OpenAI's board.
Not checkable
Kept so the record is complete. Too vague, or a private metric, so not scored.
- Not checkable2024-01-02· AI industry
@AdamKreutinger @DukeGunston I honestly think this can be accomplished with existing tools right now... Not fully automated yet but with a combination of tools like HeyGen, MidJourney, and some basic editing in Davinci or Premiere you can do this now. Fully automated by the end of the year. :)
Vague.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Matt Wolfe's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Matt Wolfe's predictions?
Matt Wolfe's tracked predictions score 0% across 1 resolved call (low confidence). 0 are still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.