Matt Pocock's predictions
Public predictions Matt Pocock (@mattpocockuk) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
2 pending calls, none resolved yet
2 pending
Nothing resolved yet, so there is no accuracy percentage.
Next deadline: 2026-12-31. Pending calls are not part of the score.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted. Dated calls are listed first.
- Pending2026-09-12· Jobs· due 2026-12-31
In 2025, CS graduates finding jobs as programmers are down from 40% to 28%. I consider December 2025 the moment when using AI for coding got 'good enough' So in 2026, I imagine we'll see a steep drop Scary times for juniors
Expects a steep 2026 drop in CS grads getting programming jobs. Full-year data not out yet.
- Pending2024-11-12· AI industry· due 2034-11-12
In 10 years: - GenAI might be popular in some consumer-facing products, but it'll be INSANELY common inside businesses - You'll still probably be writing/reviewing code - But you'll also be engineering prompts In other words, the AI revolution will be boring.
10-year horizon.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Matt Pocock's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Matt Pocock's predictions?
Matt Pocock has 2 pending predictions and none resolved, so there is no accuracy score yet.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.