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Noah Kagan avatar

Noah Kagan

Chief Sumo at AppSumo, a software deals marketplace

@noahkagan177K followersDirectory MakersSaaS Founders

Noah Kagan at a glance

Known for
AppSumo
Active products
AppSumo

Facts checked 2026-11-05

About Noah Kagan

Founder ('Chief Sumo') of AppSumo, a marketplace for software deals. Employee #30 at Facebook.

Products by Noah Kagan

AppSumo logo

AppSumo

appsumo.com

Lifetime software deals marketplace.

Prediction accuracy

50%2 resolved · low confidence

low confidence

1 came true · 1 wrong

Longest-horizon call. Have feeling Tesla cyber truck is going to be HUGE flop. Tons of people messaging say they are skipping actually ordering it. (Came true, due 2025-12-31)

  • Wrong2025-10-08· Markets· due 2026-10-08
    @wolfejosh 💯 agree. Have bet with friend market down within a year.

    Bet the market would be down within a year. S&P 500: 6,753.72 on 2025-10-08 (https://www.reuters.com/business/wall-street-futures-tick-up-with-fed-commentary-minutes-focus-2025-10-08/) vs 7,765.36 on 2026-10-08, up about 15%.

    Original (x.com)exa.ai

  • Came true2023-12-09· Cars· due 2025-12-31
    Have feeling Tesla cyber truck is going to be HUGE flop. Tons of people messaging say they are skipping actually ordering it.

    CNN (Jul 2025): 'officially, a flop.' US sales fell 48% in 2025 to ~20k (Cox/USA Today). Noah conceded 'I was wrong' in Oct 2024 (x.com/noahkagan/status/1847304887463510041) during the 2024 launch-year bump, but the final outcome matched his call.

    Original (x.com)cnn.com

All 2 tracked posts by Noah Kagan →

Noah Kagan FAQ

Who is Noah Kagan?

Founder ('Chief Sumo') of AppSumo, a marketplace for software deals. Employee #30 at Facebook.

What is Noah Kagan known for?

Noah Kagan is best known for AppSumo.

What is Noah Kagan doing now?

As of November 2026, Noah Kagan's active products include AppSumo.

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