AppSumo
appsumo.com
Lifetime software deals marketplace.
Chief Sumo at AppSumo, a software deals marketplace
Facts checked 2026-11-05
Founder ('Chief Sumo') of AppSumo, a marketplace for software deals. Employee #30 at Facebook.
appsumo.com
Lifetime software deals marketplace.
low confidence
1 came true · 1 wrong
Longest-horizon call. Have feeling Tesla cyber truck is going to be HUGE flop. Tons of people messaging say they are skipping actually ordering it. (Came true, due 2025-12-31)
@wolfejosh 💯 agree. Have bet with friend market down within a year.
Bet the market would be down within a year. S&P 500: 6,753.72 on 2025-10-08 (https://www.reuters.com/business/wall-street-futures-tick-up-with-fed-commentary-minutes-focus-2025-10-08/) vs 7,765.36 on 2026-10-08, up about 15%.
Have feeling Tesla cyber truck is going to be HUGE flop. Tons of people messaging say they are skipping actually ordering it.
CNN (Jul 2025): 'officially, a flop.' US sales fell 48% in 2025 to ~20k (Cox/USA Today). Noah conceded 'I was wrong' in Oct 2024 (x.com/noahkagan/status/1847304887463510041) during the 2024 launch-year bump, but the final outcome matched his call.
Founder ('Chief Sumo') of AppSumo, a marketplace for software deals. Employee #30 at Facebook.
Noah Kagan is best known for AppSumo.
As of November 2026, Noah Kagan's active products include AppSumo.
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