Shaan Puri's predictions
Public predictions Shaan Puri (@ShaanVP) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
low confidence
1 mostly true · 2 pending
Needs 5 resolved predictions to be ranked. This score is low confidence.
Next deadline: 2027-06-12. Pending calls are not part of the score.
By topic
Accuracy on the calls that have resolved, with the sample size.
- AI agents75%
1 resolved · low confidence
Scored predictions
- Mostly true2024-12-11· AI agents· due 2025-12-31
#8 - "This is the year AI agents are born. Next year we'll see a few start to scale"
Agents did start to scale in 2025: Claude Code hit a $1B run-rate within ~6 months (Reuters), and McKinsey's 2025 survey found 23% of orgs scaling an agent. Item #8 of a quoted list. The wording is his own list item.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted. Dated calls are listed first.
- Pending2025-06-11· AI adoption· due 2027-06-12
in 2 years, not using AI to do your job will be like coming to work without a computer
2-year horizon.
- Pending2025-03-18· AI adoption· due 2028-03-17
it's exciting that over the next 36 months there's going to be 3-5 "holy sh*t" moments where someone launches an AI thing that is a one-way door to the future
36-month horizon.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Shaan Puri's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Shaan Puri's predictions?
Shaan Puri's tracked predictions score 75% across 1 resolved call (low confidence). 2 are still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.