Ryan Hoover's predictions
Ryan Hoover is scored here and marked as an investor, so the calls stay off the indie best and worst lists. Public forecasts from 2023-11 to 2026-11.
low confidenceInvestor
1 mostly true · 1 pending
Needs 5 resolved predictions to be ranked. This score is low confidence.
Next deadline: 2026-12-31. Pending calls are not part of the score.
By topic
Accuracy on the calls that have resolved, with the sample size.
- AI music75%
1 resolved · low confidence
Scored predictions
- Mostly true2023-12-24· AI music· due 2024-12-24
I created a lofi remix of a Childish Gambino track in a few minutes using musicgen-remixer by @sake_min (h/t @andreasklinger). Within a year artists will be able to create production-level remixes of their music in minutes. Pending licensing challenges, fans will be empowered
Within a year (2024-11-19), Suno v4 shipped Covers, which lets you upload audio and reimagine it in a new style, plus Remaster. Whether the output is 'production-level' is debatable, so MOSTLY_TRUE.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted. Dated calls are listed first.
- Pending2025-06-06· AI industry· due 2026-12-31
From a16z’s latest report: Startups in consumer gen AI are outpacing enterprise gen AI in revenue. My theory: Big budget enterprise is often slower to adopt new tech. We’ll see this flip next year.
Enterprise vs consumer gen-AI revenue flip 'next year' (2026). Not yet measured.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Ryan Hoover's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Ryan Hoover's predictions?
Ryan Hoover's tracked predictions score 75% across 1 resolved call (low confidence). 1 is still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.