Riley Brown's predictions
Public predictions Riley Brown (@rileybrown) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
4 pending, 1 not checkable yet
4 pending · 1 not checkable
Nothing resolved yet, so there is no accuracy percentage.
Next deadline: 2026-12-31. Pending calls are not part of the score.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted. Dated calls are listed first.
- Pending2026-01-04· Own business· due 2026-12-31
@erwblo Unfollow if you don’t like them :) We will be the biggest vibe coding platform by the end of the year. ~ 50,000 tweets incoming
Biggest vibe-coding platform by end of 2026.
- Pending2025-11-07· Media· due 2026-12-31
TBPN will have 1M subs by the end of next year.
TBPN 1M YouTube subs by end of 2026.
- Pending2026-01-25· AI pricing· due 2028-01-25
@andyrewlee In the near term they will get worse, yes. But in 2 years models this good will cost 95% less.
95% cheaper in 2 years.
- Pending2025-07-22· Culture· due 2029-12-31
I predict that by the end of this decade influencers will start entire cities. Like what @balajis is doing but started by four 23-33 year old youtubers.
Influencers start cities by end of decade.
Not checkable
Kept so the record is complete. Too vague, or a private metric, so not scored.
- Not checkable2025-03-09· Gaming
By the end of the year the most popular streamers will be playing their OWN games with their fans. This is actually going to be MASSIVE.
Vague.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Riley Brown's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Riley Brown's predictions?
Riley Brown has 4 pending predictions and none resolved, so there is no accuracy score yet.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.