Martin Donadieu's predictions
Public predictions Martin Donadieu (@martindonadieu) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
low confidence
1 wrong · 1 pending
Needs 5 resolved predictions to be ranked. This score is low confidence.
Next deadline: 2031-06-15. Pending calls are not part of the score.
By topic
Accuracy on the calls that have resolved, with the sample size.
- Peer businesses0%
1 resolved · low confidence
Scored predictions
- Wrong2025-09-04· Peer businesses· due 2026-09-04
What a celebration, acquired by the worst company! I tough you reached ground floor and you managed again to dig one floor lower. I regret I supported you one day. Dia is going away in a year, you lost it all. You sold with bad numbers, it was probably a bad deal. Founder ego of VC backed company…
'Dia is going away in a year' (after the Atlassian acquisition). Atlassian is sunsetting Arc instead and doubling down on Dia (Oct 2026).
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted. Dated calls are listed first.
- Pending2026-06-15· Policy· due 2031-06-15
Europe has to deregulate now OR Capital and talent will leave in 3/5 years. Mark my words We are already dying slowly, AI regulations will be the “coup de grace”
3-5 years.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Martin Donadieu's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Martin Donadieu's predictions?
Martin Donadieu's tracked predictions score 0% across 1 resolved call (low confidence). 1 is still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.