Marc Lou's predictions
Public predictions Marc Lou (@marclou) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
Unscored
2 came true · 7 pending
Needs 3 resolved predictions to be ranked.
Scored predictions
- Came true2026-10-21· Business· due 2026-11
MailCheap would reach $1K MRR in under two weeks if growth stayed linear, six times faster than DataFast.
TrustMRR lists MailCheap at about $2.5K MRR in early November 2026, well past the $1K target.
- Came true2024-10· Business
Set a goal of building a software business worth $1M, defined as DataFast reaching $20K MRR.
He reported crossing $20K MRR about 512 days after setting the goal (March 2026); TrustMRR shows DataFast around $29K MRR by late 2026.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted.
- Pending2026-08-10· AI· due 2036-08-10
I only build 2 types of startups now: 1) AI-proof in 10 years. My startup marketplace (TrustMRR) can be cloned with a prompt, but a network of 20K buyers can’t. Trust compounds over time. 2) Trends. Anything hot on ...
10-year horizon.
- Pending2026-06-30· Business· due 2026-12
His portfolio of small bets was on track to make $1M again in 2026.
June 2026 alone was about $84K; full-year total not yet reported.
- Pending2026-05-07· AI
As AI advances, much of the front end will disappear and SaaS will be mostly backend, with AI assistants rendering the UI.
Long-horizon call with no deadline; MCP/API-first products are growing but traditional SaaS UIs remain dominant.
- Pending2026-03-25· Tech
QStash’s interface is so bad, I vibe coded my own UI to understand where the recent spike came from. I think in the future, most SaaS will expose an API, and the UI will be generated on the fly, custom-made for each ...
Open-ended.
- Pending2026-03-10· Business
Next goal after $20K MRR: take DataFast to $1M ARR (about $83K MRR).
DataFast was around $29-30K MRR in October 2026, roughly a third of the way.
- Pending2024-12-10· Tech· due 2044
Even as AI obsoletes tools and jobs, in 20 years the web will still mostly work by serving HTML over HTTP.
Deadline is decades away.
- Pending2024-01-04· Other· due 2034-01-04
Pat's story is why solopreneurship will 10x in 10 years. 1. Get frustrated from 9-5 2. Work on projects scratching your own itch 3. Show up daily for years 4. Get more money, freedom, and satisfaction than any job co...
10-year horizon.
Marc Lou's maker profile →Data updated 2026-11-05
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Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Marc Lou's predictions?
Marc Lou got 100% of 2 resolved predictions right (2 came true, 0 were wrong), with 7 still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending predictions aren't scored until they resolve.