Josh Pigford's predictions
Public predictions Josh Pigford (@Shpigford) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
Wishful thinker#5 of 5
3 wrong · 4 pending
Scored predictions
- Wrong2025-07-22· Business· due 2025-08
Pivoting Maybe to natural-language B2B forecasting tools would generate revenue from day one, starting by the end of August 2025, and keep the company alive.
In March 2026 he announced Maybe had been shut down at the start of the year; none of its directions, B2B finance included, found traction.
- Wrong2024-02-06· Business
Relaunched Maybe as commercial open source would make money through B2C subscriptions plus a B2B API.
By July 2025 Maybe had about 200 paying customers, roughly 6,000 short of break-even, and sunset the consumer app.
- Wrong2024-02-06· Business
Maybe would become the personal-finance OS people sign up for with their first job and use for life.
The B2C app was shut down in 2025 and Maybe Finance itself was wound down in early 2026, with assets put up for sale.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted.
- Pending2026-09-24· AI· due 2027-09-30
everyone likes to think they can detect AI ("it just has a certain look" or "it sounds like AI" or "humans don't write like that") but by this time next year absolutely nobody will be able to tell. nobody. not a singl...
About 1-year horizon.
- Pending2026-06-16· AI
if you still require an enterprise sales call to give pricing, you're going to be eaten alive in the long run. in most cases, clever engineers just need a day or two w/ AI to build the exact part of your product they...
'In the long run'.
- Pending2026-03-14· Tech
the future is a world where all software companies exclusively become APIs
Open-ended.
- Pending2024-04-15· AI· due 2029-04-15
reason #526 to continue my journey towards full-time hermit: in 5 years every public place is going to be 10x as noisy as everyone's just gonna be yapping it up with their ai assistants.
5-year horizon.
Josh Pigford's maker profile →Data updated 2026-11-05
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Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Josh Pigford's predictions?
Josh Pigford got 0% of 3 resolved predictions right (0 came true, 3 were wrong), with 4 still pending.
How does Josh Pigford rank as a predictor?
Josh Pigford ranks #5 of 5 makers with at least 3 resolved predictions on IndieMakerList.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending predictions aren't scored until they resolve.