Marc Köhlbrugge's predictions
Public predictions Marc Köhlbrugge (@marckohlbrugge) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
50%
Unscored
1 came true · 1 wrong
Needs 3 resolved predictions to be ranked.
Scored predictions
- Wrong2025-07-25· AI· due 2025-09-30
AI agents become way more powerful once they can read/write to a database. I predict ChatGPT/Claude/etc will add Airtable-like databases within the next 2 months. It makes working with ANY type of data so much bette...
Neither ChatGPT nor Claude added an Airtable-like database product; they integrate with Airtable instead.
- Came true2024-04-30· AI
I agree an LLM in a box is dead on arrival I hope the device makers realize this too as it’s kinda obvious (?) and they have bigger plans.
Humane AI Pin was shut down in Feb 2025; Rabbit R1 flopped.
Marc Köhlbrugge's maker profile →Data updated 2026-11-05
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Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Marc Köhlbrugge's predictions?
Marc Köhlbrugge got 50% of 2 resolved predictions right (1 came true, 1 were wrong), with 0 still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending predictions aren't scored until they resolve.