Justin Welsh's predictions

Ten years from now, having a solo business will feel as normal as having a corporate job.

10-year horizon.

Original (x.com)

AI will help create 1M+ solopreneurs. Bloated creator businesses are failing, and solopreneurship + AI is the obvious alternative. And new creator businesses will start lean and build AI automation to stay that way. A higher margin, lower stress future.

No deadline or measurable count.

Original (x.com)

Here are my 7 best guesses on the creator economy headed into 2024: 1. A top performer exodus: Top performers across the board will recognize an opportunity to make more money and have a much larger impact building their own brand & business than working for someone else. This will accelerate rapidly in 2024. 2. A lot of quitters: At the same time, many people who have been spinning their wheels as creators for a few years (and failing) will give up and ditch social media altogether for mental health improvement. 3. More creator collabs: You'll see an acceleration of tech founders + "creator founders" working together to bring small SaaS products to their audience quickly, efficiently, and at a low cost. 4. More small co. flips: Companies like Acquire will thrive as the people working together above (#3) look to flip businesses at a multiple. 5. More creator authors: Traditional publishing houses will continue to actively hunt creators with an audience and pay them large advances due to their ability to generate massive attention predictably. 6. Creator platform shifts: Creators who have built large audiences on platforms that no longer reward them with impressions will leave and go to platforms that do. 7. AI bifurcation: AI content will bifurcate: Some people will use it to augment their ideas (potentially good) while others will use it in place of having any unique or interesting ideas of their own (definitely not good). Audiences won't be fooled. I'm sure I'll be right on some and wrong on others. Curious to hear yours.

Seven broad trend guesses for 2024 with no measurable thresholds.

Original (x.com)

Spent last week doing some intense 2024 goal-setting. Here's what I'm going to accomplish: (business goals only) 1. Build a new service business with friends: Collaborative creator/operator businesses will continue to thrive next year. Pooling together influence, skills,

Vague.

Original (x.com)

@thethomaswong @SahilBloom @hunterhammonds I'm not sure if it's "top" but I believe creators and engineers will be an unstoppable combo in 2024 and 2025.

Opinion, not measurable.

Original (x.com)

2024 Prediction: More high performers will view one-person internet businesses as a viable option alternative to traditional work. More flexibility, high-income potential, 100% ownership, & the ability to be present for their partner and children. This movement isn't stopping.

Vague trend statement.

Original (x.com)