Julian Shapiro's predictions
Julian Shapiro is scored here and marked as an investor, so the calls stay off the indie best and worst lists. Public forecasts from 2023-11 to 2026-11.
low confidenceInvestor
1 came true
Needs 5 resolved predictions to be ranked. This score is low confidence.
By topic
Accuracy on the calls that have resolved, with the sample size.
- Energy100%
1 resolved · low confidence
Scored predictions
- Came true2026-03-12· Energy· due 2026-12-31
in case you're unaware: matt started a company called aalo that's making nuclear reactors to provide unlimited energy. they turn on a reactor THIS YEAR. modern nuclear is almost here. they solve the problems of slow build times and safety. the factory pumps out hundreds per year
Said Aalo would 'turn on a reactor THIS YEAR.' Aalo-X reached criticality at INL on 2026-07-04 (also https://www.energy.gov/articles/department-energy-celebrates-fourth-criticality-ahead-july-4th-goal). He is an investor and friend of the founder.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Julian Shapiro's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Julian Shapiro's predictions?
Julian Shapiro's tracked predictions score 100% across 1 resolved call (low confidence). 0 are still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.