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Jonathan Wilke's predictions

Public predictions Jonathan Wilke (@jonathan_wilke) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.

1 pending call, none resolved yet

1 pending call, none resolved yet

1 pending

Nothing resolved yet, so there is no accuracy percentage.

Next deadline: 2028-10-28. Pending calls are not part of the score.

Pending

Not resolved yet, so not counted. Dated calls are listed first.

  • Pending2026-10-28· AI products· due 2028-10-28
    I have sold all my Apple stocks. I think Apple is at the point where Nokia and blackberry were before the iPhone. It’s inevitable to me that one of the AI labs will replace traditional operating systems with an AI-based one within the next one or two years.

    1-2 years.

    Original (x.com)

Compare with other makers

All predictors →
  • Tony Dinh avatar
    Tony Dinhlow confidence

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    91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
  • John Rush avatar
    John RushOptimist · medium confidence

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  • Pieter Levels avatar
    Pieter Levelslow confidence

    5 scored · 7 pending

    20%5 resolved · low confidence
  • Sam Parr avatar
    Sam Parrlow confidence

    2 scored · 0 pending · 1 not checkable

    100%2 resolved · low confidence
  • Ian Nuttall avatar
    Ian Nuttalllow confidence

    1 scored · 4 pending · 1 not checkable

    100%1 resolved · low confidence
  • Steph Smith avatar
    Steph Smithlow confidence

    1 scored · 0 pending

    100%1 resolved · low confidence

Jonathan Wilke's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05

Frequently asked questions

How accurate are Jonathan Wilke's predictions?

Jonathan Wilke has 1 pending prediction and none resolved, so there is no accuracy score yet.

How is the score calculated?

Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.