David Heinemeier Hansson's predictions
Public predictions David Heinemeier Hansson (@dhh) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
—
Unscored
2 pending
Needs 3 resolved predictions to be ranked.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted.
- Pending2026-08-10· Tech· due 2031-08-10
I don't think many humans are going to be reading or writing code in 5 years, so I don't really think it matters.
Not resolved yet.
- Pending2025-11-20· AI· due 2027-12-31
"Linux has surpassed 5% desktop market share in the US (5.03% in June 2025)... analysts eye 7% by 2027." Analysts are such timid creatures. I'm eyeing at least double that. Make no small plans; they have no magic to s...
Not resolved yet.
David Heinemeier Hansson's maker profile →Data updated 2026-11-05
Compare with other makers
92%
44%
27%
20%
0%
100%
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are David Heinemeier Hansson's predictions?
David Heinemeier Hansson has 2 tracked predictions, none resolved yet.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending predictions aren't scored until they resolve.