Chris Savage's predictions
Public predictions Chris Savage (@csavage) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
low confidence
1 came true · 1 mostly wrong
Needs 5 resolved predictions to be ranked. This score is low confidence.
By topic
Accuracy on the calls that have resolved, with the sample size.
- Jobs100%
1 resolved · low confidence
- Apple25%
1 resolved · low confidence
Longest-horizon call
Stated deadline 2025-09-30.
- Mostly wrong2024-06-14· Apple· due 2025-09-30
If you were wondering what the Gen AI Revolution will look like, it's iOS 18's upgrade to power Siri with generative AI. @Apple Intelligence's Siri makeover will democratize Gen AI, putting it into the hands of 1.5 Billion people worldwide. It's not an add-on or upsell; it's
iOS 18's gen-AI Siri would bring gen AI to 1.5B people. Apple Intelligence shipped only on newer devices, and Apple delayed the personalized LLM Siri to 2026.
Scored predictions
- Mostly wrong2024-06-14· Apple· due 2025-09-30
If you were wondering what the Gen AI Revolution will look like, it's iOS 18's upgrade to power Siri with generative AI. @Apple Intelligence's Siri makeover will democratize Gen AI, putting it into the hands of 1.5 Billion people worldwide. It's not an add-on or upsell; it's
iOS 18's gen-AI Siri would bring gen AI to 1.5B people. Apple Intelligence shipped only on newer devices, and Apple delayed the personalized LLM Siri to 2026.
- Came true2024-03-26· Jobs
Prediction: We'll soon live in a world with AI that is so good, you'll need to go old-school in interviews by meeting candidates in person. Just yesterday, I had a conversation about hiring and how we're moving quickly into a reality that requires we interview people in person to: + Ensure they are who they say they are. + Confirm that their answers are genuine and not bolstered with the assistance of bots. As technology continues to evolve in many applications of AI, trust will become a more valuable currency. Hiring is just an example. These changes are coming fast. What are the other ways we need to prepare for them at work?
AI would force a return to in-person interviews. In 2025 Google, Cisco and McKinsey brought back in-person rounds to counter AI cheating (Axios, WSJ).
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Chris Savage's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Chris Savage's predictions?
Chris Savage's tracked predictions score 62.5% across 2 resolved calls (low confidence). 0 are still pending.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.