Channing Allen's predictions
Public predictions Channing Allen (@ChanningAllen) made from 2023-11 to 2026-11, each checked against what happened.
1 pending, 1 not checkable yet
1 pending · 1 not checkable
Nothing resolved yet, so there is no accuracy percentage.
Next deadline: 2031-07-01. Pending calls are not part of the score.
Pending
Not resolved yet, so not counted. Dated calls are listed first.
- Pending2026-07-01· AI industry· due 2031-07-01
@JayVander_ Anthropic's valuation is reported to be $965B post-money. Let's just call it $1T. In 5 years they're 1/3 of Microsoft. In the top 20 of companies globally.
5 years.
Not checkable
Kept so the record is complete. Too vague, or a private metric, so not scored.
- Not checkable2025-02-24· AI industry
@signulll the founder of an extremely well-known and successful startup recently told me "when you think about it, the real reason to have a team is to make YOU better." I predict he'll use AI to reduce his workforce by 50% by summer and put himself out of a job by the end of 2026.
Vague.
Compare with other makers
91.7%6 resolved · low confidence
43.8%8 resolved · medium confidence
20%5 resolved · low confidence
100%2 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
100%1 resolved · low confidence
Channing Allen's maker profile →Last checked 2026-11-05
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are Channing Allen's predictions?
Channing Allen has 1 pending prediction and none resolved, so there is no accuracy score yet.
How is the score calculated?
Came true = 1, mostly true = 0.75, partly true = 0.5, mostly wrong = 0.25, wrong = 0, averaged over resolved predictions. Pending calls and posts that are too vague to check are not scored. Personal goals are included unless the filter on this page is checked. Confidence is low below 8 resolved, medium from 8 to 15, and high above 15.